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The London side have a higher chance of emerging winners as the title race tightens with few games to go.
As Arsenal look for crucial points to sustain their Premier League title dreams, they have been tipped by the Opta supercomputer to bet Newcastle United on Sunday.
Newcastle are themselves fighting hard to end the season in the top four in order to return to the Champions League. Given the ambitions of both teams this season, this game promises to be a blockbuster, but the Gunners have been given a 40.1% chance of victory.
Should the London club lose this match, their title ambitions could as well be over. This is because their chances of beating Manchester City to the trophy are just 6.0%. The Citizens, at this point, have a game in hand and a point more, and if they beat Leeds United on Saturday, the gap will be widened to four points.
Meanwhile, the reverse fixture between the Mapies and the Gunners at the Emirates ended in a 0-0 draw, and Newcastle will be looking to go unbeaten in both league meetings with Arsenal in a single campaign for the first time since 2010–11.
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08:52 - 06.05.2023
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The Premier League leaders need four wins in five matches to seal a fifth title in six years
The Magpies won this exact fixture last season by a margin of 2-0 at home, but the Gunners haven’t lost consecutive league games away at St James’ Park since January 1996.
Going into Sunday’s game, despite Arsenal being tipped for a victory, Newcastle have won eight of their last nine Premier League games (L1), including each of the last three by an aggregate score of 13-3. This means Arsenal will have to work hard to get the crucial points.
Since they lost to Aston Villa in mid-April, the Magpies have recovered and gone on to win against Tottenham Hotspur, Everton, and Newcastle, scoring 13 goals across those games.
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22:14 - 05.05.2023
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City have a chance to widen the gap if they win Saturday’s match against Leeds.
Alexander Isak has been involved in eight goals - seven goals and one assist - in his last nine league games for Newcastle, and this boosts the home side’s goal-scoring targets.
Arsenal are equally in strong scoring form, scoring in a current league-best 14 games in a row.
They have only failed to score in three of their last 36 Premier League matches overall, but two of these have come in their most recent meetings with Newcastle: a 2-0 loss away in May 2022 and the 0-0 draw at the Emirates Stadium earlier this year.
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