How Manchester City’s draw against Arsenal affects the Premier League title race

Arsenal's Bukayo Saka and Manchester City's Kevin de Bruyne | Imago

How Manchester City’s draw against Arsenal affects the Premier League title race

Ayoola Kelechi 20:42 - 31.03.2024

The draw between the two title contenders has opened up the title race

Manchester City's draw against Arsenal in their recent Premier League encounter has sent ripples through the title race, with implications for the three teams who still have aspirations.

Let's delve into how this result impacts the broader landscape of the Premier League title race.

Manchester City and Arsenal play out bore draw

At the Etihad Stadium, Manchester City and Arsenal clashed in a highly anticipated fixture. Despite City's dominance in possession, Arsenal held firm defensively, thwarting their opponent's attacking endeavors. Both teams had their chances, but ultimately, the match ended in a stalemate, with neither side able to break the deadlock.

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For Arsenal, avoiding defeat against Manchester City was crucial to their title aspirations. A loss would have significantly dented their chances of staying in contention for the Premier League trophy. With Liverpool already securing a victory, a defeat for Arsenal would have further widened the gap at the top.

Impact on the title race and future projections

The draw between Arsenal and Manchester City has shifted the dynamics of the Premier League title race. Liverpool's win against Brighton, combined with City's dropped points, has propelled the Reds to the top of the table. Arsenal, despite the draw, remain within striking distance of the title, but their path to championship glory has become more challenging.

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Following the weekend's results, Liverpool emerges as the favorite to clinch the Premier League title. With a two-point lead over Arsenal and a one-point advantage over Manchester City, the Reds are in pole position to lift the trophy come May. Projections by experts and statistical models indicate Liverpool's growing likelihood of becoming champions, with Manchester City trailing behind and Arsenal facing an uphill battle to claim the title.

According to Opta's supercomputer, after Liverpool's victory over Brighton and the draw between Arsenal and Manchester City, the Reds now top the Premier League table with a 47% chance of winning the title. Manchester City, now trailing Liverpool, have a 34% chance of becoming champions, while Arsenal lag behind with only a 19% chance of lifting the Premier League trophy at the end of the season.

Manchester City's Kevin de Bruyne and Arsenal's Kai Havertz | Imago
Manchester City's Kevin de Bruyne and Arsenal's Kai Havertz | Imago

The draw between Arsenal and Manchester City has injected further drama into an already thrilling Premier League title race. While Liverpool now sits atop the table, both Arsenal and City remain in contention, albeit with differing probabilities of success. As the season progresses, every point gained or dropped will carry significant weight, shaping the destiny of the Premier League title. Fans can expect more twists and turns in the coming weeks as the battle for supremacy in English football intensifies.

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