What are Uganda’s chances of qualifying for World Cup 2026

What are Uganda’s chances of qualifying for World Cup 2026

13:57 - 22.08.2024

With the 2026 World Cup expanding to 48 teams, nations like Uganda have received a lifeline with Africa sending at least nine teams to the tournament.

For many nations, just reaching the FIFA World Cup is the pinnacle of football success. This is particularly true for African nations like Uganda. Of the dozens of countries in Africa, only 13 have ever qualified for the World Cup, making the odds slim for most countries outside of that group.

However, with the 2026 World Cup expanding to 48 teams, nations like Uganda have received a lifeline with Africa sending at least nine teams to the tournament.

With more allotments for African teams, Uganda’s chances of qualifying have improved from past World Cups. Unlike past World Cups, it’s easier than ever to find established and trustworthy betting apps that have odds available on World Cup qualifying matches and markets for what teams will qualify in 2026. But realistically speaking, what are Uganda’s chances of making the 2026 World Cup?

The Cranes are in the midst of qualifying in Group G, which has become one of the most balanced groups in African qualifying. With each team playing four of its 10 league matches, Uganda sits in a tie for fourth out of six teams.

However, the Cranes have six points from four matches, the same total as both Guinea and Botswana. Meanwhile, Algeria and Mozambique lead the way with nine points apiece. In other words, there are five teams separated by just three points.

In such a tightly packed group, anything can happen. Even if Algeria and Guinea are the favourites on paper, the Cranes are far from out of contention. Even finishing second place, which could give Uganda a path toward an intercontinental playoff, is on the table.

It’s also worth noting that after already playing Guinea away and Algeria at home, two of Uganda’s toughest matches are already behind them, potentially giving the Cranes one of the easier schedules moving forward.

Equally important, Uganda showed great promise during its two qualifying matches in June. The Cranes played a young squad in a 1-0 win over Botswana in front of 45,000 fans in Kampala. They also gave Algeria a run for its money in a tight 2-1 loss at home a few days later. Those performances at home have created a sense of hope for the Ugandans.

In addition to the promise shown by a youthful lineup in the two June matches, the Cranes are starting to discover more players with Ugandan heritage who are playing in Europe and can immediately add quality to the quality of the squad.

Elio Capradossi, who played in the Italian youth system and made his Ugandan debut in June, is the latest example of this. Between the youth movement and other new additions, there is hope for Uganda to improve throughout the qualifying process.

Of course, it’s important to keep in mind that Uganda are still underdogs. Qualifying for the 2026 World Cup would be considered a surprise, especially given the pedigree of teams like Algeria and Guinea, who are still expected to finish at the top of Uganda’s group.

But the Cranes are off to a promising start and their best football could be ahead of them. With only three points separating them from the top of the group with six matches to play, Uganda’s chances of qualifying for a World Cup are as good as they’ve ever been

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